12
Mon Plaisir
4yo Colt · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau Des Ducs D'alencon - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#10
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Vincennes | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 77% | +0.72 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |