4
Mozart Du Dollar
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau Des Ducs D'alencon - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#11
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-18 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-11 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Nantes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength47%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 23/07/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 23/09/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 27/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 05/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 18/01/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |