15
Must Dream
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau Des Ducs D'alencon - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Argentan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength99%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.19 |
| 11/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 13/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |