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My Dream

4yo Colt · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau Des Ducs D'alencon - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#14

Rank

Odds

45/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pontchateau 16/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 016/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 23/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 03/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 17/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Enghien 06/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y 06/034C0 @ Chateaubriant 22/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 12/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 012/05C?4 @ Vincennes 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Saint-Malo 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 05/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Saint-Malo?4th4th0
2026-07-07Cabourg?0
2026-06-06Vincennes42nd2nd0
2026-05-12Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-04-22Chateaubriant?4th4th0
2026-03-06Enghien42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0417/0212/055/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 16-18 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20252nd9/276%90%+0.14
23/05/20255th12/137%64%+0.27
03/10/20257th12/137%60%+0.23
17/02/20267th13/266%45%-0.20
06/03/20262nd13/266%93%+0.27
22/04/20264th4/179%73%-0.06
12/05/20263rd13/266%78%+0.12
06/06/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05
05/08/20264th7/282%73%-0.09