2
My Happy Story
4yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau Des Ducs D'alencon - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#17
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-07 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength51%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 20/10/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 19/01/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 03/02/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 10/02/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 07/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/06/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |