14
Initiale Lila
8yo Mare · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Paris Turf X Pmu - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#6
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-29 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-30 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 4-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength34%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 19/03/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 10/04/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 12/05/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 94% | +0.12 |
| 30/06/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 92% | -0.00 |
| 29/07/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 24/07/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 14/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |