11
Kelly Jane
6yo Mare · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Paris Turf X Pmu - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Vire | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Vincennes | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Lisieux | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 12-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 14/02/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 22/03/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 12/04/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.38 |
| 31/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 03/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 20/02/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |
| 18/03/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 53% | -0.07 |