6

Kibrille Montaval

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Paris Turf X Pmu - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#11

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 13/12/2024 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 013/12C?C0 @ Laval 07/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 09/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 17 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 09/12C?C0 @ Cabourg 22/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 06 @ Mauquenchy 21/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 021/0165 @ Amiens 21/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Caen 05/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 05/03C?C0 @ Argentan 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 05 @ Mauquenchy 10/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 010/095projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Mauquenchy56th6th0
2026-08-16Argentan?6th6th0
2026-03-05Caen?3rd3rd0
2026-02-21Amiens53rd3rd0
2026-01-21Mauquenchy65th5th0
2025-12-22Cabourg?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1222/125/0310/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/12/20248th28/10%42%+0.42
07/11/202511th125/10%33%+0.33
09/12/202512th50/10%31%+0.31
22/12/20257th20/10%60%+0.60
21/01/20265th15/261%64%+0.03
21/02/20263rd12/137%85%+0.48
05/03/20263rd7/163%88%+0.24
16/08/20266th14/126%62%+0.35
10/09/20266th50/10%67%+0.67