8

Kyushu

6yo Mare · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Paris Turf X Pmu - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#1

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

90%

Place Prob

56%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 27/08/2024 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 027/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 13/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 02/01/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 02/01C?C0 @ Cabourg 25/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Graignes 12/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 012/10C?C0 @ Cabourg 22/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 11/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 011/02C?C0 @ Lisieux 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Vire 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 031/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Vire?1st1st0
2026-07-15Lisieux?1st1st0
2026-02-11Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2025-12-22Cabourg?1st1st0
2025-10-12Graignes?7th7th0
2025-07-25Cabourg?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0825/0711/0231/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 7-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/08/20248th28/10%53%+0.53
13/12/20244th50/10%70%+0.70
02/01/202512th22/10%27%+0.27
25/07/20252nd40/10%93%+0.93
12/10/20257th18/15%54%+0.49
22/12/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
11/02/20262nd9/153%93%+0.40
15/07/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
31/08/20261st15/890%100%+0.10