7

Arizona's Victoria

2yo Filly · 9-2

Chantilly · Prix De La Mare Aux Oiseaux Maiden · 7f 209y

#6

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength35%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +3.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ ParisLongchamp 03/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/09C5
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03ParisLongchamp?7th3rd+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength13%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20267th40/10%25%+0.25