6
It's Only Love
2yo Filly · 9-2
Chantilly · Prix De La Mare Aux Oiseaux Maiden · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
88%
Place Prob
64%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength91%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +3.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | -2th | +4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 7th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-07-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 9th | 5th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 05/08/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |