7
Family Secret
3yo Filly · 8-10
Chantilly · Prix De Mours Stakes · 7f 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength70%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 2 | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-19 | Toulouse | 1 | 6th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2025-10-07 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 09/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 3/10 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |