8
Kendelya
3yo Filly · 8-10
Chantilly · Prix De Mours Stakes · 7f 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength57%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 2 | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-04-12 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2025-10-04 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 25/07/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 25/08/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 04/10/2025 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |