5
Mia Lot
3yo Colt · 8-13
Chantilly · Prix De Mours Stakes · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength47%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 2 | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Angers | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-03-27 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 16/10/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 25/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |