3
Persian Imp Cen
3yo Gelding · 8-13
Chantilly · Prix De Mours Stakes · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength71%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 2 | 11th | 8th | +3 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 2 | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 7th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | 2 | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-11-04 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 12/09/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 04/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 14/05/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 21/08/2026 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 9% | -0.57 |