4
Soul Ambassador
3yo Gelding · 8-13
Chantilly · Prix De Mours Stakes · 7f 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength55%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 2 | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 2 | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |