3

Aibar

2yo Colt · 9-3

Chantilly · Prix De La Montignette Handicap · 5f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12812/07C51 @ Deauville 02/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1252/081C5 @ Saint-Cloud 11/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12811/09C5projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Saint-Cloud?5th5th0
2026-08-02Deauville17th7th0
2026-07-12Deauville?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/072/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength65%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20262nd7/282%80%-0.02
02/08/20267th66/10%14%+0.14
11/09/20265th8/158%43%-0.15