11

Dont You Think

2yo Filly · 8-0

Chantilly · Prix De La Montignette Handicap · 5f 212y

#10

Rank

Odds

55/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 8.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 12412/05C5C5 @ Deauville 18/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12718/08C5C5 @ Deauville 30/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 12430/08C5projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Deauville?10th10th0
2026-08-18Deauville?8th8th0
2026-05-12Chantilly?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0518/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength32%

Delivery trend +9.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/05/20268th28/10%0%0.00
18/08/20268th40/10%22%+0.22
30/08/202610th66/10%18%+0.18