9

Enfant Paradis

2yo Filly · 8-2

Chantilly · Prix De La Montignette Handicap · 5f 212y

#6

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 05/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1205/05C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 22/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 120C5 @ Dieppe 06/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 1206/06C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f156y GS 123C5 @ Dieppe 23/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 4f213y GS 12023/06C5C5 @ Vichy 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 4f213y GS 123C5 @ Moulins 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 12428/08C5C0 @ Deauville 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 117C5 @ Dieppe 17/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 12317/09C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Dieppe?4th4th0
2026-09-01Deauville?2nd2nd0
2026-08-28Moulins?6th6th0
2026-07-24Vichy?3rd3rd0
2026-06-23Dieppe?5th5th0
2026-06-13Lyon-Parilly?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0513/0628/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength53%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/20267th33/10%45%+0.45
22/05/20268th40/10%36%+0.36
06/06/202610th20/10%25%+0.25
13/06/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19
23/06/20265th14/126%43%+0.17
24/07/20263rd14/126%71%+0.45
28/08/20266th7/163%38%-0.26
01/09/20262nd14/126%83%+0.57
17/09/20264th12/137%67%+0.30