IvyArcIvyArc
6

Gokita

2yo Filly · 8-8

Chantilly · Prix De La Montignette Handicap · 5f 212y

#5

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 12412/05C53 @ La Teste De Buch 03/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1243/063C5 @ Dieppe 18/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 12418/07C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 02/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1242/08C5C5 @ Deauville 18/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12318/08C5C0 @ Deauville 01/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1221/09C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Deauville?3rd3rd0
2026-08-18Deauville?4th4th0
2026-08-02Le Lion D'angers?5th5th0
2026-07-18Dieppe?10th10th0
2026-06-03La Teste De Buch35th5th0
2026-05-12Chantilly?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/053/0618/072/0818/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength34%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/05/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
03/06/20265th7/282%60%-0.22
18/07/202610th28/10%25%+0.25
02/08/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
18/08/20264th12/137%67%+0.30
01/09/20263rd8/158%67%+0.09