8
La Baraka
2yo Filly · 8-4
Chantilly · Prix De La Montignette Handicap · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saint-Malo | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength47%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |