5
Acary
3yo Gelding · 8-13
Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Gemmes Stakes · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength69%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 2 | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-05-22 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 13th | 9th | +4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/03/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 23/04/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |