4
Astra Dream
5yo Filly · 9-3
Chantilly · Prix De Boran-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 31/03/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 10/04/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 58% | -0.02 |
| 05/07/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 47% | -0.14 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 16/08/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 90% | +0.85 |