3
Clemenza
6yo Mare · 9-5
Chantilly · Prix De Boran-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/12/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 29/03/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |