12
Gin Gembre
9yo Gelding · 8-5
Chantilly · Prix De Boran-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 11-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 85% | +0.03 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.01 |
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.08 |
| 23/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 05/07/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 24/08/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |