10
Kavakney
10yo Horse · 8-8
Chantilly · Prix De Boran-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
76%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 23/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 09/06/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.13 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |