1
Lord Asriel D Alme
5yo Gelding · 9-6
Chantilly · Prix De Boran-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 77% | +0.14 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 08/04/2026 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 14/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 01/09/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 14/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |