15
Mehanydream
9yo Gelding · 8-4
Chantilly · Prix De Boran-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#14
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 26/03/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 14/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 12/06/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |