14
Sweet Damiana
8yo Mare · 8-4
Chantilly · Prix De Boran-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#15
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength32%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 10/02/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 04/04/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 14/04/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 17/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 26/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |