7
Amouage
5yo Gelding · 8-13
Chantilly · Prix De Noisy-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 30/03/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 23/04/2026 | 12th | 5/1 | 74% | 21% | -0.52 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |
| 28/07/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 15th | 18/1 | 5% | 7% | +0.01 |
| 14/09/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |