11
Aston Juan
4yo Colt · 8-8
Chantilly · Prix De Noisy-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-18 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/05/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.09 |
| 20/06/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 03/07/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/08/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 30/09/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.30 |
| 13/11/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 04/09/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |