13
Caregiver
6yo Gelding · 8-6
Chantilly · Prix De Noisy-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#16
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength32%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 07/11/2025 | 10th | 5/2 | 87% | 10% | -0.77 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 79% | +0.13 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.09 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 16/08/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |