2
Casares
5yo Gelding · 9-5
Chantilly · Prix De Noisy-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength33%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.25 |
| 12/01/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 26/01/2026 | 12th | 5/1 | 74% | 27% | -0.47 |
| 18/02/2026 | 16th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 25/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 27% | -0.28 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 14/07/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 04/08/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |