1

Jack O'boy

9yo Gelding · 9-6

Chantilly · Prix De Noisy-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y

#15

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ ParisLongchamp 22/05/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 13022/05C?C0 @ ParisLongchamp 07/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 127C0 @ Saint-Cloud 16/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12516/10C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 09/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 125C0 @ Saint-Cloud 14/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 13314/11C?2 @ ParisLongchamp 05/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 1203 @ ParisLongchamp 30/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12030/0433 @ Compiegne 20/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 139C0 @ ParisLongchamp 07/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1257/06C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-07ParisLongchamp?14th14th0
2026-05-20Compiegne35th5th0
2026-04-30ParisLongchamp313th13th0
2026-04-05ParisLongchamp25th5th0
2025-11-14Saint-Cloud?3rd3rd0
2025-11-09Saint-Cloud?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/059/1130/047/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength69%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/202513th33/10%14%+0.14
07/09/20259th33/10%33%+0.33
16/10/20255th28/10%71%+0.71
09/11/20255th10/382%69%-0.13
14/11/20253rd5/287%86%-0.01
05/04/20265th40/10%73%+0.73
30/04/202613th20/10%8%+0.08
20/05/20265th10/147%71%+0.24
07/06/202614th20/10%7%+0.07