15
Missouri
6yo Gelding · 8-2
Chantilly · Prix De Noisy-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength40%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 30/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 23/04/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.25 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.12 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 62% | -0.12 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 01/09/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 14/09/2026 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 54% | -0.36 |