16
Palazzo
5yo Gelding · 8-2
Chantilly · Prix De Noisy-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#11
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Compiegne | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 17/01/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 27/01/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 11/02/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 24/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 10/03/2026 | 14th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 24/04/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 07/05/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 47% | -0.01 |