10

Regalienne

4yo Filly · 8-9

Chantilly · Prix De Noisy-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y

#13

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Chantilly 27/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12327/0233 @ Chantilly 12/03/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1273 @ Chantilly 26/03/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12826/033C5 @ Fontainebleau 11/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1243 @ Compiegne 25/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12925/0433 @ ParisLongchamp 14/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 1303 @ Deauville 13/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 6f101y Sft 13113/0833 @ Deauville 01/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1254 @ Le Mans 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 13011/094projClass-projected finish: 10th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Le Mans47th7th0
2026-09-01Deauville310th10th0
2026-08-13Deauville313th13th0
2026-05-14ParisLongchamp35th5th0
2026-04-25Compiegne310th10th0
2026-04-11Fontainebleau?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0211/0413/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength26%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/202612th80/10%8%+0.08
12/03/202614th50/10%7%+0.07
26/03/202614th50/10%7%+0.07
11/04/20261st33/10%100%+1.00
25/04/202610th15/261%25%-0.36
14/05/20265th8/158%64%+0.06
13/08/202613th50/10%14%+0.14
01/09/202610th25/10%0%0.00
11/09/20267th40/10%57%+0.57