10

Regalienne
4yo Filly · 8-9
Chantilly · Prix De Noisy-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#13
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 12/03/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 26/03/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 14/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 13/08/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 01/09/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |