8
Romance Marine
5yo Filly · 8-11
Chantilly · Prix De Noisy-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 02/04/2026 | 11th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.77 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 16/07/2026 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 03/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |