3

Apogeo

4yo Colt · 9-7

Chantilly · Prix De Bruyere-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y

#11

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 29/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 12429/07C?C0 @ Deauville 14/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 6f101y Sft 130C5 @ Chantilly 25/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 12525/09C5C0 @ Chantilly 21/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Std 138C0 @ Deauville 18/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 6f101y Std 12818/12C?C0 @ Chantilly 26/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1302 @ Chantilly 14/04/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13014/0422 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/04/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1283 @ Chantilly 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m99y Std 1234/093projClass-projected finish: 13th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Chantilly36th6th0
2026-04-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat215th15th0
2026-04-14Chantilly215th15th0
2026-03-26Chantilly?7th7th0
2025-12-18Deauville?11th11th0
2025-11-21Chantilly?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0721/1114/044/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/07/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
14/08/20252nd17/255%93%+0.38
25/09/20256th9/488%17%-0.71
21/11/20253rd9/153%86%+0.33
18/12/202511th8/158%33%-0.25
26/03/20267th22/10%60%+0.60
14/04/202615th10/147%7%-0.41
27/04/202615th12/137%0%-0.37
04/09/20266th28/10%58%+0.58