2
Dubalaa
4yo Gelding · 9-8
Chantilly · Prix De Bruyere-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 21/12/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 12/01/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 93% | +0.08 |
| 07/04/2026 | 11th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.17 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 87% | +0.02 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 64% | -0.20 |