10

Hey Vince

4yo Gelding · 8-13

Chantilly · Prix De Bruyere-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y

#15

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 06/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1306/07C?C0 @ Deauville 14/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 6f101y Sft 128C0 @ ParisLongchamp 04/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1304/09C?C5 @ Chantilly 25/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 125C0 @ Deauville 07/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1207/11C?C0 @ Deauville 26/11/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 6f101y Std 123C0 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12412/05C?2 @ Dieppe 23/06/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 5f102y GS 1233 @ ParisLongchamp 09/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1239/073projClass-projected finish: 16th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09ParisLongchamp38th8th0
2026-06-23Dieppe215th15th0
2026-05-12Chantilly?12th12th0
2025-11-26Deauville?15th15th0
2025-11-07Deauville?10th10th0
2025-09-25Chantilly?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0725/0912/059/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 12-16 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20253rd9/276%87%+0.10
14/08/202512th4/179%21%-0.58
04/09/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
25/09/20253rd13/266%67%+0.01
07/11/202510th15/261%10%-0.51
26/11/202515th25/10%7%+0.07
12/05/202612th16/116%27%+0.11
23/06/202615th12/137%7%-0.30
09/07/20268th9/153%13%-0.40