4

Marharry

5yo Gelding · 9-3

Chantilly · Prix De Bruyere-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y

#5

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Angers 22/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y GS 14522/09C5C0 @ Chantilly 28/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Std 132C0 @ Chantilly 18/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Std 13218/11C?C0 @ Chantilly 27/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 141C0 @ Chantilly 21/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12821/01C?3 @ Compiegne 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1313 @ Saint-Cloud 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1285/0732 @ Deauville 08/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1312 @ Deauville 01/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1161/092projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Deauville212th12th0
2026-08-08Deauville26th6th0
2026-07-05Saint-Cloud34th4th0
2026-05-25Compiegne31st1st0
2026-01-21Chantilly?7th7th0
2025-12-27Chantilly?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0927/125/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/20258th11/271%0%-0.71
28/10/20254th7/163%80%+0.17
18/11/20256th15/261%62%+0.01
27/12/20252nd7/282%93%+0.11
21/01/20267th8/158%45%-0.12
25/05/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
05/07/20264th14/126%80%+0.54
08/08/20266th5/174%64%-0.09
01/09/202612th18/15%21%+0.16