9
Saint Hellier
7yo Gelding · 8-13
Chantilly · Prix De Bruyere-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#12
Rank
Odds
75/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength5%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 25/11/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 19/12/2025 | 12th | 5/1 | 74% | 8% | -0.65 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 27/01/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 73% | -0.17 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |
| 14/09/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |