13
Spring Heart
5yo Filly · 8-11
Chantilly · Prix De Bruyere-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Chantilly | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 09/12/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 20/02/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 9% | -0.44 |
| 02/04/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 54% | -0.01 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 01/09/2026 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |