11
Swift Flight
8yo Gelding · 8-12
Chantilly · Prix De Bruyere-sur-oise Handicap · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
56%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Deauville | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saint-Malo | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 47% | -0.22 |
| 08/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 10/05/2026 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 23% | -0.43 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |