4
Suited And Booted
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 100
Churchill Downs · Race 2 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-17 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-08 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-03-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 27/03/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 08/05/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 12/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 17/10/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |