8
Banidoso
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 84
Churchill Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 25/08/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 30/09/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 11/12/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 04/01/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.04 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |