Saint In The City
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 86
Churchill Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-07-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-06-22 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2025-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 28/02/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 28/03/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 07/05/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 22/06/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 14/07/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 36% | -0.29 |