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8

Good To Be Prince

4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 86

Churchill Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength69%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 08/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/07/2025 · OR 85 par8/07C6OR 85C6 @ Fairmount Park 22/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 87 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/07/2025 · OR 87 parC5 @ Hawthorne 21/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 89 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 89 par21/08C5OR 89C6 @ Fairmount Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 93 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 93 parC5 @ Hawthorne 23/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 96 · 5f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/10/2025 · OR 96 par23/10C5OR 96C5 @ Hawthorne 02/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 94 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 94 parC5 @ Hawthorne 03/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 86 · 5f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 86 par3/05C5OR 86C5 @ Hawthorne 21/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 81 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 81 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 78 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 78 par29/08C6OR 78projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Fairmount Park?3rd1st+2
2026-05-21Hawthorne?5th2nd+3
2026-05-03Hawthorne?5th2nd+3
2025-11-02Hawthorne?7th4th+3
2025-10-23Hawthorne?4th1st+3
2025-10-04Fairmount Park?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/074/103/0529/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%

Delivery trend -3.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20252nd6/492%80%-0.12
22/07/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
21/08/20252nd4/179%80%+0.01
04/10/20252nd13/891%83%-0.08
23/10/20254th7/282%40%-0.42
02/11/20257th25/10%45%+0.45
03/05/20265th10/147%0%-0.47
21/05/20265th10/147%20%-0.27
29/08/20263rd7/491%60%-0.31