Proctor Phantom
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 97
Churchill Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-11-30 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2024-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2022-09-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2022-08-17 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2022 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 03/09/2022 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/11/2024 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |
| 02/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 30/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |